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Dr. Arnold challenges Pope's position on climate change skeptics
Says large rises in sea level near Miami is 'more due to draining aquifers under the City and the land sinking as a result, not global warming.'
Commentary in response to: Link: BBC report on the Pope and Climate Change Sceptics
By Dr. Ben Arnold
Personal commentary of the writer
I should not challenge the Pope but then who will when he condemns those of us he calls skeptics who ask scientific questions. The recent US hurricanes are the first major ones in about 12 years. Maybe we should assume global warming caused this lull? No, I don't think so but if you want to attribute the recent storms to global warming then how do we account for that 12-year lull?
The US records of hurricanes are readily available. That data show no evidence that the number and strength of hurricanes are increasing. The number of hurricanes has been slowly decreasing in the very years when global warming was reported the greatest. Scientists look at facts and data and make honest analysis. Those who want to believe what they want to believe, pick and choose what to talk about. The emotional cry that hurricane Harvey was due to global warming just fuels the alarmists who say the World is heading into disaster. Many people including scientists exaggerate the negative part of the CO2 increase. The science is quite clear that CO2 is in fact increasing and than man is the major cause of that increase. I believe that because the science can be analyzed and evaluated. The question remains however, can an increase of o.3 to 0.4 parts per 1000 of CO2 over 50 years cause such devastation, i.e. 1 part per 10,000 increase?
The many reports of large rises in sea level near Miami are misleading. The sea level rise there is more due to draining aquifers under the City and the land sinking as a result, not global warming.
The debate about global warming is not between deniers and believers. That binary postulate has been set up by political and emotional people wanting to be right about something. The debate for those informed is; how important is the CO2 warming effect on the earth. If you follow all the emotional, sky is falling scares given by the liberal press and politicians, and believe this is true; you probably haven't had access to the real data.
Emotional people listening to emotional people are spreading incomplete and often false information. The fear of global warming has become almost like a religion for some, it is a belief not science. The best data show about 0.8 degrees total warming over the last 150 years, as best science can determine. How is that measured? What methods are used? Do you have any questions or concerns about the accuracy of measuring a change of 0.8 degrees C over 150 years, i.e. about 0.006 degrees increase per year! I actually believe this data is mostly accurate in setting a trend. But even then it shouldn’t scare you! Those in the binary camp of alarmists, who believe Al Gore, seem to never accept that most all of his and the alarmists predictions never happened. The world environment has changed little from the 70s. The big problems in India and China are from air pollution (people are dying from bad air and water) but not from CO2 levels. Even with the continue reporting of 'warmest year on record' by the press, the global temperature has been essentially constant for 15 years. The pope has little scientific credentials but probably truly believes he must help save the Earth.
As the emotional chatter increases and the science is ignored, the more we all must ask for proof.
Having taken the effort to find and look at actual recorded data, it may be useful to comment on just one such date set as shown below (scroll down page or click to NOAA chart submitted by Dr. Arnold, taking issue with the Pope - CM) for measurement site 19226 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Now you don't have to be a strong scientist to observe this data doesn't look like normal atmospheric changes. The abrupt measured changes looks to me like instrument calibration. Thousands and thousands of such measurement sites are on going, many unfortunately near larger cities where the urban heating effect, caused by all the power used to light and heat homes and buildings creates a small increase in atmospheric temperatures in that area. Global warming is for sure a complex and changing phenomenon, just perfect for zealots to capitalize on for profits in books and movies. It is an inconvenient truth that science cannot disprove the negative.
This story was posted on 2017-09-13 02:17:25
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